Nacional vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 3
LFC
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
MWA
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 3
MWA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ETS
0 - 3
CEL
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEL
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
RAC
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |