Nacional EC MG vs América TO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TOM
1 - 0
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 0
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
2 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
CRA
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
AME
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
TOM
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 0
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
DEM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |