Nacional vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
AME
3 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 4
LIB
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
5 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |