Nacional AM vs Real Ariquemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
REC
0 - 2
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
REC
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 1
NAC
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
SAO
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 0
NAC
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
RDA
3 - 2
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 2
SAO
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
RDA
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 1
RDA
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
RDA
3 - 1
BRO
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |