Nacional AM vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
NAC
6 - 0
SER
57%
26%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
NAC
1 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAC
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
NAC
4 - 2
REM
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
FLA
1 - 0
NAC
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
MIX
1 - 0
CSA
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
REM
1 - 3
CSA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
CSA
2 - 1
PAY
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
CSA
0 - 2
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |