Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-2
NAC Breda vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
PSV
7 - 1
NAC
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
NAC
2 - 4
UTR
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
HFC
3 - 1
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 0
AZA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
AMS
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
MAG
3 - 1
ROS
72%
17%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
CHL
1 - 2
MAG
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
MAG
0 - 1
CHE
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
BSG
1 - 1
MAG
22%
26%
53%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
MAG
2 - 1
BWA
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |