NAC Breda vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
RJC
0 - 2
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
AZA
1 - 2
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
WIL
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
UTR
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
UTR
3 - 1
RJC
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 2
SCH
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |