NAC Breda vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
ZWO
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRO
0 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
TWE
0 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 2
FEY
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 2
UTR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
UTR
4 - 3
RKC
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 1
PSV
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 1
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |