NAC Breda vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 2
PSV
16%
24%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 3
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
WAG
2 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1981 |
AZA
5 - 0
GRO
87%
9%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
GRO
2 - 0
WAG
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
RJC
4 - 2
GRO
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
GRO
3 - 1
GAE
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |