NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
NEC
2 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
XER
3 - 0
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
NAC
2 - 1
PSV
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
TWE
3 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
AJA
2 - 1
TWE
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
AJA
9 - 1
NEC
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
SPA
1 - 0
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
AJA
5 - 0
XER
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |