NAC Breda Sub 18 vs Groningen Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
30%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
5º
4º
23
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HRV
0 - 2
NAC
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 2
NAC
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
VIT
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UTR
2 - 1
NAC
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
5 - 1
SPR
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Groningen Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GRO
6 - 1
ALM
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 1
GRO
38%
21%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 3
UTR
50%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 5
GRO
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
3 - 2
EMM
35%
21%
43%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |