NAC Breda U18 vs Excelsior U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
5º
5º
9
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HRV
1 - 1
NAC
27%
22%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 0
NAC
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
FDB
21%
19%
60%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
VIT
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 3
FDB
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 5
VIT
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 2
EXC
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
4 - 2
ADO
82%
11%
7%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |