Musselburgh Athletic vs Darvel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musselburgh Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
MUS
2 - 3
CLY
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 1
GRE
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MUS
6 - 0
COL
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUS
7 - 0
IHS
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
MUS
56%
19%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Darvel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BON
3 - 0
DFC
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 3
DFC
16%
17%
67%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 5
FAL
8%
14%
78%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | -3 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 0
ABE
5%
12%
83%
|
29 | 72 | 43 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 5
DFC
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | +3 |