Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
7º
12
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 26 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 26 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 22 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 22 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 18 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 18 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 18 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 14 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 13 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 13 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 10 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 1
IVT
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
TEC
2 - 2
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 1
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
ORE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 2
MUS
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 1
TEC
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 4
CUE
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 0
BSC
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DEL
0 - 0
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |