Mushuc Runa vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 0
DEL
29%
26%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 0
MUS
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LDU
0 - 0
MUS
39%
26%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
MUS
0 - 0
ORE
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CUE
1 - 0
MUS
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LDU
3 - 2
AUC
26%
25%
50%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
AUC
1 - 1
UCE
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 1
BSC
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |