Murciélagos vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
DOR
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 2
MUR
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
TEP
3 - 3
MUR
76%
17%
7%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 0
CAF
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
UAT
3 - 1
CAF
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 4
CAF
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 2
LOB
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
5 - 1
CAF
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |