Murata vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 3
TPE
26%
24%
51%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
FIO
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
TFI
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 0
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
PEN
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SGI
9 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 3
FAE
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
COS
6 - 2
PEN
88%
9%
2%
|
31 | 68 | 37 | 0 |