Mura 05 vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 1
MUR
56%
22%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MUR
5 - 0
IVA
55%
23%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 2
MUR
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MUR
5 - 0
TRI
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 0
KRS
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NKP
3 - 0
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NKS
0 - 3
NKP
18%
26%
56%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NKP
3 - 1
SEN
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KRS
1 - 4
NKP
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 2
NKP
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |