Munsingen vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
14º
14º
1
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 60 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 52 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 50 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 48 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 40 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 39 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 39 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 39 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 34 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 32 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 28 |
16º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 2
MUN
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 2
SOL
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
MUN
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
MUT
18%
22%
61%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RTK
2 - 4
MUN
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
4 - 2
MUT
30%
24%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
MUT
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 1
MUT
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
MUT
18%
22%
61%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MUT
4 - 1
FCC
76%
14%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |