Munsingen vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
14º
14º
13
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 50 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 43 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 39 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 2
MUN
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 2
SOL
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
MUN
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
MUT
18%
22%
61%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RTK
2 - 4
MUN
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
4 - 2
MUT
30%
24%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
MUT
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 1
MUT
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
MUT
18%
22%
61%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MUT
4 - 1
FCC
76%
14%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |