Municipal Limeño vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
CDD
2 - 3
MUN
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAL
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
FIR
0 - 2
MUN
48%
24%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ALI
0 - 0
MUN
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
MUN
2 - 2
ALI
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
ATL
0 - 3
MET
28%
25%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CDD
1 - 2
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SAL
2 - 3
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
MET
2 - 1
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |