3. Lig round 20

Muğlaspor vs Buca FK analysis

Muğlaspor Buca FK
38 ELO 43
-8.1% Tilt -7.9%
7514º General ELO ranking 27781º
142º Country ELO ranking 279º
ELO win probability
36.6%
Muğlaspor
26%
Draw
37.5%
Buca FK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
Muğlaspor
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.5%
Win probability
Buca FK
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Muğlaspor
Buca FK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Muğlaspor
Muğlaspor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2018
GOL
Golcukspor
1 - 0
Muğlaspor
MUL
32%
27%
41%
39 36 3 0
21 Jan. 2018
MUL
Muğlaspor
2 - 2
Erokspor
ERO
39%
26%
35%
39 43 4 0
17 Dec. 2017
MUL
Muğlaspor
0 - 0
Darica Genclerbirligi
DAR
30%
28%
43%
39 48 9 0
10 Dec. 2017
KAY
Kayseri
2 - 4
Muğlaspor
MUL
25%
23%
52%
38 22 16 +1
03 Dec. 2017
MUL
Muğlaspor
1 - 1
Ankara Demirspor
ANK
29%
26%
46%
38 45 7 0

Matches

Buca FK
Buca FK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2018
TIR
Buca FK
0 - 0
52 Orduspor
YOR
40%
25%
35%
42 44 2 0
21 Jan. 2018
ERZ
24 Erzincanspor
1 - 2
Buca FK
TIR
50%
25%
25%
41 44 3 +1
17 Dec. 2017
ANA
Anadolu Bağcılar
3 - 1
Buca FK
TIR
36%
26%
38%
42 38 4 -1
10 Dec. 2017
TIR
Buca FK
1 - 1
Yeşil Bursa
OYA
64%
22%
15%
43 36 7 -1
02 Dec. 2017
KIR
Kirikhanspor
1 - 2
Buca FK
TIR
17%
23%
61%
42 27 15 +1