Muğlaspor vs Etimesgut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
60.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
7º
7º
18
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
22 | 62 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 58 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 55 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 54 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 50 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 50 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 49 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 41 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 36 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 34 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 27 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 25 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 14% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 19% |
|
Next round
|
49% | 60.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muğlaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TIR
0 - 0
MUL
11%
16%
73%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MUL
2 - 0
CAY
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
YAS
1 - 2
MUL
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
KST
2 - 2
MUL
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MUL
2 - 2
BUR
17%
24%
59%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Etimesgut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SEK
0 - 2
SIL
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 2
SEK
15%
25%
60%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SEK
1 - 0
KIR
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SEK
1 - 2
USA
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SEK
1 - 1
INE
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |