Hohenwestedt vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
15º
14º
12
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 70 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 65 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 46 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
63% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
51.5% | 85.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 2
HOH
31%
21%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 0
HOH
74%
14%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HOH
0 - 4
EUT
38%
21%
41%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 2
SVE
50%
20%
30%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KIL
3 - 1
HOH
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 2
SVE
51%
20%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 2
LUB
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 3
FLE
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ECK
0 - 2
LUB
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
LUB
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |