MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
3º
9
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
22 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 55 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 49 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 47 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 41 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 32 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 29 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
21.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SZE
0 - 3
MTK
20%
21%
59%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MTK
4 - 1
UJP
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DIO
0 - 2
MTK
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MTK
3 - 1
KTE
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DVS
2 - 3
MTK
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Zalaegerszegi TE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SZE
1 - 2
ZTE
16%
19%
65%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NYI
1 - 1
ZTE
33%
25%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ZTE
1 - 2
GYO
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZTE
0 - 2
UJP
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DIO
2 - 1
ZTE
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |