Mtibwa Sugar vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MTI
1 - 0
KAG
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
JKT
0 - 0
MTI
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COA
0 - 1
MTI
32%
30%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
MTI
0 - 2
YOU
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MTI
1 - 0
MMA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MWA
2 - 2
YOU
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
MWA
3 - 1
JKT
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MWA
2 - 1
JKT
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MMA
0 - 1
MWA
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 0
MWA
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |