Mtibwa Sugar vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
14º
11º
33
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MTI
3 - 4
AZA
27%
30%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIM
5 - 0
MTI
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
DJF
0 - 1
MTI
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
MTI
1 - 0
SBS
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KMC
2 - 1
MTI
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MBE
2 - 2
COA
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 2
COA
41%
30%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
COA
0 - 0
GGF
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
COA
2 - 0
KAG
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
RUV
2 - 1
COA
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |