MSV Duisburg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1965 |
STU
4 - 2
MSV
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1965 |
MSV
1 - 1
NEU
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
KOL
1 - 2
MSV
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
MSV
0 - 1
EBT
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 2
HSV
22%
21%
57%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1965 |
HER
2 - 1
S04
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1965 |
MUN
6 - 4
HER
87%
8%
5%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
EIN
3 - 0
HER
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1965 |
HER
0 - 0
STU
32%
25%
42%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
BVB
6 - 3
HER
88%
8%
5%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |