MSV Duisburg vs B. Mönchengladbach II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
5º
1º
27
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 73 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 62 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 61 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 61 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 61 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 59 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 53 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 46 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 46 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 40 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 40 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 38 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 30 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 25 |
18º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
72% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 4
MSV
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 1
MSV
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MSV
1 - 0
DUR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MSV
2 - 1
ROD
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
S04
1 - 2
MSV
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 2
WUP
45%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 0
KFC
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
5 - 0
DUR
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 4
BOR
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
ROD
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |