MSV Duisburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
BWB
0 - 0
MSV
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 3
MSV
22%
20%
58%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
MSV
1 - 3
TEN
64%
23%
14%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
HES
1 - 0
MSV
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
MSV
0 - 2
KÖL
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
BAY
1 - 1
DAR
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
WAT
3 - 0
BAY
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
BAY
1 - 3
KSC
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
AAA
4 - 1
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
BWB
4 - 0
BAY
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |