Bundesliga round 2

MSV Duisburg vs Bayern München analysis

MSV Duisburg Bayern München
80 ELO 88
5.4% Tilt 9.2%
2331º General ELO ranking
69º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.2%
MSV Duisburg
23.9%
Draw
48.9%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.9%
Win probability
Bayern München
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

MSV Duisburg
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 1976
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
79%
13%
8%
79 90 11 0
06 Aug. 1976
HAN
Hannover 96
0 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
51%
21%
28%
79 76 3 0
12 Jun. 1976
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 0
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
71%
18%
11%
78 67 11 +1
04 Jun. 1976
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
48%
24%
28%
79 76 3 -1
29 May. 1976
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 0
Karlsruher SC
KSC
61%
21%
18%
79 73 6 0

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 1976
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 1
Anderlecht
AND
74%
14%
12%
88 86 2 0
14 Aug. 1976
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
76%
15%
10%
88 81 7 0
10 Aug. 1976
HAN
Hannover 96 II
0 - 10
Bayern München
BYM
15%
20%
66%
88 47 41 0
12 Jun. 1976
BYM
Bayern München
7 - 4
Hertha BSC
HER
72%
17%
12%
88 82 6 0
04 Jun. 1976
KOL
Köln
1 - 0
Bayern München
BYM
45%
23%
32%
88 85 3 0