Moutier vs Franches Montagnes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 3
MOU
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MOU
0 - 0
NEX
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCC
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
LAN
4 - 0
MOU
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 1
MOU
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Franches Montagnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FCF
2 - 4
ALL
17%
21%
62%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCF
0 - 1
FCT
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |