Moutier vs Bassecourt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 2
MOU
40%
23%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 0
COL
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCW
1 - 1
MOU
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FCT
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FCO
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 6
FCC
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALL
4 - 2
BAS
38%
24%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
COL
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | -1 |