Moura vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PIN
3 - 0
MOU
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 6
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 0
MOU
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
3 - 0
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAF
1 - 1
MOU
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
TOU
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 0
MON
53%
23%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOU
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |