Moura vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOU
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 1
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
MOU
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 2
LUS
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PRA
2 - 0
MOU
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALJ
0 - 2
OPE
17%
23%
61%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
ALJ
67%
18%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALJ
1 - 1
QUA
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 0
ALJ
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALJ
3 - 1
ATL
30%
25%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |