Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
17º
7º
17
6º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 60 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 58 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 57 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 55 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 53 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 45 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 42 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 40 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 39 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 36 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
18º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 2
MOT
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
TER
39%
25%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
PGL
2 - 3
MOT
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
POG
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
6 - 2
MOT
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Radomiak Radom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
STA
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
POG
0 - 1
RAD
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
PGL
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 3
SLA
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 1
RAD
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |