Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
17º
8º
30
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 59 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 52 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 46 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 39 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 38 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 1
GOR
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
JAG
3 - 0
MOT
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
KOR
1 - 0
MOT
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 1
GDA
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 1
DBA
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
GKS Katowice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GKS
0 - 0
PGL
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
GKS
1 - 2
LKS
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
RAK
1 - 2
GKS
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GKS
2 - 2
POD
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
GKS
1 - 0
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |