Maranhense Last 16
Global 3-3
Moto Club MA vs Santa Quitéria FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
MOT
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 0
COR
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 0
MOT
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -3 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
JOS
0 - 5
MOT
43%
23%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
MOT
3 - 2
IMP
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Quitéria FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
MOT
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 0
QUI
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
BAC
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 1
QUI
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 2
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |