Motherwell vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
8º
51
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 1
MHE
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MHE
3 - 1
ALL
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 2
MHE
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
MHE
3 - 1
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
MHE
0 - 2
GLA
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 2
HIB
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
DUN
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
GLA
3 - 1
KIL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 2
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
STM
0 - 1
KIL
41%
30%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |