Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
Motherwell vs GKS Katowice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
DUN
2 - 2
MHE
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
MHE
3 - 0
DUN
60%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
GKS
2 - 0
MHE
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
MHE
0 - 1
ABE
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
GKS Katowice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
GKS
2 - 2
MOT
62%
24%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
SLA
2 - 1
GKS
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
GKS
2 - 0
MHE
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
STA
0 - 0
GKS
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
GKS
1 - 0
IGL
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |