Motherwell vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
HOM
0 - 1
MHE
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MHE
3 - 0
DUN
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
LIV
0 - 5
MHE
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
HIB
1 - 0
MHE
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
MHE
2 - 3
CEL
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
DUN
4 - 1
KIL
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
ABE
2 - 1
DUN
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 3
HOM
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 1
ICT
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |