Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-5
Móstoles vs CD Colonia Moscardó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
MST
3 - 0
ROB
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
COL
4 - 0
MST
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
AVI
0 - 1
MST
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
MST
5 - 1
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
VAL
1 - 1
MST
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
UPL
0 - 1
COL
63%
22%
16%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
COL
4 - 0
MST
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
COL
4 - 0
SPB
37%
29%
34%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
CDM
1 - 0
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
COL
1 - 0
FUE
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |