Mossley vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 0
MOS
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
ASH
1 - 0
MOS
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
FRI
0 - 4
MOS
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 2
ASH
47%
26%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BUR
4 - 0
MOS
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
HED
0 - 1
AFC
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
KEN
1 - 1
AFC
26%
28%
47%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
AFC
0 - 0
HED
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 1
AFC
19%
27%
53%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
AFC
1 - 3
WHI
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |