Moss vs Stavanger IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
LOV
1 - 3
MOS
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
HON
6 - 0
MOS
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 1
HAU
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 0
MOS
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 0
MJO
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stavanger IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
STA
0 - 4
ALT
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
LOV
3 - 0
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
STA
2 - 1
HAM
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
HON
3 - 1
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
STA
0 - 4
HAU
29%
27%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |