Morpeth Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
RUN
2 - 2
MOR
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 1
BAM
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
3 - 1
WHI
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
STA
3 - 1
MOR
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WHI
2 - 1
MOR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 0
STO
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
NOT
0 - 1
BOR
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 0
WOK
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
DAG
0 - 0
NOT
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
NOT
3 - 0
WEA
63%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |