Swallows FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PLS
1 - 0
SWA
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
PRE
2 - 1
SWA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 2
BID
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POL
2 - 1
SWA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SUN
4 - 1
SWA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 2
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 1
PIR
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
FRE
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BID
0 - 0
FRE
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 1
PRE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |