Mornar vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 3
SME
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
JED
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
VOK
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
MOR
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
JEZ
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 5
SUT
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
HNK
0 - 0
SUT
13%
18%
69%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SUT
5 - 1
FKM
67%
18%
16%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
JEZ
0 - 0
SUT
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 2
SUT
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |