Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
PER
18%
19%
63%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 3
MOR
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
PEN
52%
22%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GCK
2 - 5
MOR
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
5 - 1
CAM
47%
23%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
RED
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
PEN
52%
22%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
BRI
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
OLY
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 3
PEN
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +2 |