Moreton City Excelsior vs Olympic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
45.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
2º
19
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 1
LOG
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
BRI
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
GOL
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GCK
0 - 2
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
QUE
3 - 1
MOR
83%
12%
6%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Olympic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GCK
2 - 0
OLY
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
QUE
2 - 3
OLY
69%
17%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 4
SUN
67%
17%
16%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GCK
2 - 2
OLY
38%
25%
38%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 3
QUE
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |