Moreton City Excelsior vs Magpies Crusaders FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 4
OLY
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
GOL
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
RED
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
4 - 5
MOR
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GOL
2 - 1
MOR
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Magpies Crusaders FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GCK
4 - 0
MAG
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 3
OLY
7%
11%
82%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 1
MAG
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GOL
2 - 1
MAG
90%
8%
2%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MAG
1 - 1
BRI
11%
14%
75%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +1 |