Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 4
MOR
20%
20%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 3
QUE
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 1
MOR
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
EAS
3 - 6
MOR
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 2
MOR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
GCK
0 - 2
OLY
41%
24%
36%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
GOL
0 - 1
GCK
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
GCK
2 - 1
RED
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 2
GCK
15%
17%
69%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GCK
2 - 1
BRR
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |